Houston at New England
When: 4:30 PM ET, Sunday, January 13, 2013
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
TV: 4:30 p.m. ET, CBS.
Line: Patriots -10, O/U 47.5

Oddsmakers currently have the Patriots listed as 9½-point favorites versus the Texans, while the game’s total is sitting at 48.

Arian Foster scored the game’s lone touchdown last week and compiled 174 total yards from scrimmage (140 rushing, 34 receiving). Foster’s dual threat was rendered nearly obsolete after the Patriots breezed to an early 21-0 lead. The electric runner was held to 46 yards on the ground. Houston would be wise to feed Foster the ball on Sunday; the Texans are 8-0 when he rushes for at least 100 yards.

Last time out for Houston, they were a 19-13 winner as they battled the Bengals at home. The Texans covered in the match as a 3.5-point favorite, while 32 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Houston: 12-4 SU, 9-7 ATS
When playing in January are 4-4
When playing on turf are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 7-3
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston’s last 6 games
Houston is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

Brady isn’t shy about distributing the ball as he guides the league’s highest-scoring team. Wes Welker, who had 118 catches for 1,354 yards this season, was held to just three receptions in the teams’ earlier meeting. Rob Gronkowski, who was a spectator against the Texans earlier this season, led the Patriots with 11 touchdowns. Fellow tight end Aaron Hernandez, who had two scores versus Houston, and wideout Brandon Lloyd could be the wild cards in the high-octane attack.

New England won its last outing, a 28-0 result against the Dolphins on December 30. The Patriots covered in that game as a 11.5-point favorite, while the 28 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

New England: 12-4 SU, 9-6-1 ATS
New England most recently:
When playing in January are 6-4
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 6-4
New England is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England’s last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New England’s last 14 games

Prediction: Patriots 31, Texans 20

The post Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots Free Betting Pick & Matchup appeared first on IdealCapper.

Indianapolis at Baltimore
When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, January 6, 2013
Where: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, Maryland
Oddsmakers currently have the Ravens listed as 6½-point favorites versus the Colts, while the game’s total is sitting at 46.
TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Ravens -6.5, O/U 47
Prediction: Ravens 19, Colts 16

With nine more wins than the 2011 campaign, Indianapolis posted the NFL’s third-best turnaround in history. Luck has played a significant role in the Colts’ resurgence, having led them on seven game-winning drives in the fourth quarter over overtime. His 4,374 yards are the most by a rookie quarterback. Bruce Arians has guided the team in the absence of Pagano, who was a defensive assistant coach for four years with Baltimore and defensive coordinator in 2011.

Indianapolis won its last outing, a 28-16 result against the Texans on December 30. The Colts covered in that game as a 6.5-point underdog, while the 44 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Team records:
Indianapolis: 11-5 SU, 11-5 ATS
Baltimore: 10-6 SU, 6-9-1 ATS

Indianapolis most recently:
When playing in January are 5-5
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 7-3

Lewis has been sidelined 10 games with a torn right triceps, but the two-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year expects to play on Sunday. How much he’ll play is in limbo, but wide receiver Anquan Boldin will be on the field after his one-week hiatus with a bruised shoulder. Boldin has fared well versus Indianapolis, collecting 19 receptions for 221 yards and a touchdown in three career games. Ray Rice rushed for 103 yards and a score and added six receptions in a 24-10 win over the Colts on Dec. 11, 2011.

Baltimore was a 23-17 loser in its last match on the road against the Bengals. They failed to cover the 5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 40 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.

Baltimore most recently:
When playing in January are 6-4
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
Indianapolis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indianapolis’s last 9 games when playing Baltimore
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore’s last 9 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games at home

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