Houston Texans vs. Denver Broncos
When: 8:30 PM ET, Monday, October 24, 2016
Where: Sports Authority Field, Denver, Colorado
TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.
LINE: Broncos -9. O/U: 40.5
PREDICTION: Broncos 26, Texans 16

Oddsmakers currently have the Broncos listed as 6½-point favorites versus the Texans, while the game’s total is sitting at 41½.

Defense carried Denver to the Super Bowl title last season and it ranks No. 1 in yards against the pass (182.3) and in sacks (21), but the running game is struggling to get untracked. Lead back C.J. Anderson has failed to rush for 50 yards in four consecutive games and is starting to lose touches to rookie Devontae Booker. Siemian, who suffered a shoulder injury in Week 4 that caused him to miss one game, has not been picked off since Week 2 and has a pair of top wideouts in Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas, who have combined for 67 receptions and six touchdowns. The Broncos were a 21-13 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Chargers. They failed to cover the -3-point spread as favorites, while the total score (34) made winners of UNDER bettors.

Team record: 4-2 SU,4-2 ATS
Denver is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Denver is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver’s last 9 games

Osweiler’s numbers were nondescript at best through much of the first six games, but he tossed a pair of touchdowns in the final 2:37 of regulation to spark a comeback in Houston’s 26-23 overtime win over Indianapolis last weekend. Running back Lamar Miller, also a marquee free-agent signing in the offseason, is coming off his best game by rushing for 149 yards and scoring his first two touchdowns — one on the ground and one receiving. Star wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins had a season-high nine receptions against the Colts, but his longest catch went for only 12 yards. Houston won its last outing, a 26-23 result against the Colts on October 16. The Texans earned a push in that game as a -3-point favorite, while the 49 combined points took the game OVER the total.

Team record: 4-2 SU,3-2-1 ATS
Houston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Houston is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston’s last 9 games on the road

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