Baltimore vs. New England Preview

The fans at Gillette Stadium will be treated to a game between the Baltimore Ravens and the New England Patriots when they take their seats on Saturday.

Baltimore at New England
When: 4:35 PM ET, Saturday, January 10, 2015
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
TV: 4:35 p.m. ET, NBC. LINE: Patriots -7. O/U: 47.5
PREDICTION: Patriots 26, Ravens 23
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Oddsmakers currently have the Patriots listed as 7½-point favorites versus the Ravens, while the game’s total is sitting at 49.

New England suffered its only home loss to Buffalo (17-9) in a meaningless regular-season finale and also struggled offensively in a 17-16 victory at the New York Jets on Dec. 21. Brady went over 4,000 yards for the fourth straight season and finished with 33 TDs and nine interceptions for an offense that finished fourth in the league in scoring (29.3) and averaging 39.6 points during a seven-game winning streak. Julian Edelman had 92 receptions and fellow wideout Brandon LaFell was a surprise with 74 catches and seven scores, but hulking tight end Rob Gronkowski is the top weapon after racking up 82 catches for 1,124 yards and 12 scores. The Patriots’ running game and pass rush have been spotty but cornerback Darrelle Revis will be tasked with shutting down one of the Smiths.

In their last action, New England was a 17-9 loser at home against the Bills. They failed to cover the -4.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (26) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.

Team record: 12-4 SU,9-7 ATS
New England is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
New England is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England’s last 6 games
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Baltimore had never won a postseason game in Pittsburgh, but Joe Flacco threw a pair of second-half touchdown passes to earn his seventh road playoff victory – the most by a quarterback since the 1970 merger. Flacco had a season-high 27 scoring passes and came up 14 yards shy of his first 4,000-yard campaign, but it’s his postseason numbers that can’t be ignored – 13 touchdown passes and zero interception in his last five playoff games. The Ravens feature a pair of big play wideouts in Steve Smith (79 catches, 1,065 yards) and Torrey Smith (11 TDs) along with a shifty running back in Justin Forsett, who rushed for 1,266 yards and eight touchdowns. Linebackers Elvis Dumervil and Terrell Suggs lead a defense that registered 49 sacks and allowed 15.4 points over the last five games.

Baltimore won its last outing, a 30-17 result against the Steelers on January 3. The Ravens covered in that game as a +3-point underdog, while the 47 combined points took the game PUSH the total.

Team record: 11-6 SU,9-8 ATS
Baltimore is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games
Baltimore is 4-6-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing New England

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