Cincinnati vs. Indianapolis Preview

The fans at Lucas Oil Stadium will be treated to a game between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Indianapolis Colts when they take their seats on Sunday.

Cincinnati at Indianapolis
When: 1:05 PM ET, Sunday, January 4, 2015
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
TV: 1:05 p.m. ET, CBS.
LINE: Colts -3½. O/U: 49½
PREDICTION: Colts 30, Bengals 20
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Oddsmakers currently have the Colts listed as 3½-point favorites versus the Bengals, while the game’s total is sitting at 49½.

Luck threw for 344 yards and a pair of TDs against Cincinnati in October, which came during a stretch of eight straight 300-yard games en route to career-best totals of 4,761 yards and an NFL-leading 40 scoring passes. Postseason standout T.Y. Hilton and veteran Reggie Wayne each were hobbled late in the season but expect to be ready to go while tight ends Coby Fleener and Dwayne Allen must be monitored after hauling in eight TD receptions apiece. The Colts amassed a season-high 171 yards on the ground in the first meeting, but Ahmad Bradshaw is done for the season and Trent Richardson has all but disappeared, leaving Daniel “Boom” Herron as the lead back. Indy allowed at least 30 points in all five of its losses – including 42 apiece to the Patriots and Cowboys.

Indianapolis won its last outing, a 27-10 result against the Titans on December 28. The Colts covered in that game as a -7.5-point favorite, while the 37 combined points took the game UNDER the total.

Team record: 11-5 SU,10-5-1 ATS
Indianapolis is 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 games
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis’s last 6 games
Indianapolis is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home

Much has been made of the big-game failures of quarterback Andy Dalton, who is 0-3 with one touchdown and six interceptions in the postseason. Dalton has 19 scoring passes versus 17 picks this season, including a pair against Pittsburgh in last week’s showdown for the AFC North title, which is among the reasons Cincinnati will lean heavily on rookie running back Jeremy Hill – even if Green is healthy. The 240-pound Hill was a bit player in the first meeting between the teams but took over the starting job two weeks later and rushed for 100 yards five times in the last nine games, including four of at least 147 yards. The Bengals tied for the AFC lead with 20 interceptions but ranked last in the NFL with 20 sacks.

Last time out for Cincinnati, they were a 27-17 loser as they battled the Steelers on the road. The Bengals failed to cover in the match as a +3-point underdog, while 44 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.

Team record: 10-5-1 SU,8-7-1 ATS
Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati’s last 8 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games on the road

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