319 Fresno State @ 320 Ole Miss

Fresno State didn’t show well at Abilene Christian last week allowing 13 points in a 34-13 win. Ole Miss is the best team they’ll face all year. Since 1992, Fresno State as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points has lost all 9 of those games, going 6-3 ATS.

The Rebels are 11-4-1 ATS out of conference under coach Freeze.

Ole Miss has a new star rising with QB Chad Kelly. His record for junior college was stellar – and last week he sat the second half with a steamroll win 76-3 against Tenn-Martin. It’s going to be a fun game to see how the team gels with Kelly under center. The biggest if in this game – can they stay focused on Fresno instead of looking ahead to Alabama next week?

My answer – Freeze wants to see what Kelly really has before Bama. He’ll play Kelly until they are comfortably ahead 4-5 td’s. Taking Ole Miss -30.5.

Score: 21-73

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