The Baltimore Ravens and the Denver Broncos will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Sports Authority Field at Mile High.
Baltimore at Denver
When: 4:30 PM ET, Saturday, January 12, 2013
Where: Sports Authority Field at Mile High, Denver, Colorado
TV: 4:30 p.m. ET, CBS.
LINE: Broncos -9.5, O/U 46
Joe Flacco’s resume hardly stacks up to Manning’s but he is the only quarterback in league history to win a playoff game in each of his first five seasons. He threw for 282 yards and two touchdowns against the Colts while compiling his highest passer rating (125.6) since the season opener. Veteran Anquan Boldin was his favorite target with five catches for 145 yards and a touchdown. Flacco struggled against Denver in Week 15, throwing a killer interception that was returned 98 yards for a TD to break the game open. Star RB Ray Rice was a non-factor in that game with only 38 yards on 12 carries. He also lost two fumbles in last week’s win. Rookie RB Bernard Pierce has taken on a bigger role and had his second 100-yard game in three weeks against the Colts. Baltimore allowed Denver to control the clock for 38 1/2 minutes in the first matchup.
Last time out for Baltimore, they were a 24-9 winner as they battled the Colts at home. The Ravens covered in the match as a 7.5-point favorite, while 33 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.
Baltimore: 10-6 SU, 6-9-1 ATS
When playing in January are 7-3
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 7-3
Denver has not lost since a 31-21 defeat at New England on Oct. 7. Much has been made about the lack of quality competition during the winning streak, but the Broncos limited Baltimore to 56 yards rushing and 278 total. Manning had a rather pedestrian performance, throwing for a season-low 204 yards and one touchdown. He finished the season with back-to-back three-touchdown games, giving him 37 TDs vs. only 11 interceptions. Wideouts Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker each went over 1,000 yards and combined to catch 23 scoring passes. Knowshon Moreno, who took over for an injured Willis McGahee in the final six weeks, rushed for 115 yards and a score against Baltimore. Denver’s defense, led by the pass-rushing tandem of linebacker Von Miller and Elvis Dumervil, has peaked down the stretch and surrendered only 45 points in its final four games.
In their last action, Denver was a 38-3 winner at home against the Chiefs. They covered the 17-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (41) was profitable news for UNDER bettors.
Denver: 13-3 SU, 11-5 ATS
When playing in January are 3-7
When playing on grass are 10-0
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing outside the division are 7-3
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Baltimore is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 6 games when playing Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Denver’s last 23 games at home
Prediction: Broncos 27, Ravens 17
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