Jacksonville at St. Louis: NFL Free Betting Tip

The St. Louis Rams look to take advantage of a rare favorable matchup when they host lowly Jacksonville on Sunday. The Rams are coming off their third straight loss, but two were on the road at Atlanta and Dallas and the other was at home against a hungry San Francisco team that steamrolled St. Louis by a 35-11 margin in a Thursday night affair.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. St. Louis Rams
When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 6, 2013
Where: Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis, Missouri
TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
LINE: Rams -11.5. O/U: 41.5
PREDICTION: Rams 27, Jaguars 13
Current streak:
Jacksonville has lost 4 straight games.
St. Louis has lost 3 straight games.
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The Jaguars were a 37-3 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Colts. They failed to cover the 9-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (40) made winners of UNDER bettors.

The Monroe deal was taken in stride by most players, even if it potentially offered a glimpse of things to come. “I’ve been here when we’ve cut our quarterback Week 1 twice,” running back Maurice Jones-Drew told ESPN.com. “I don’t think there’s too much more that can shock you about this deal.” Among the positives on the Jacksonville side this week is the return of standout wide receiver Justin Blackmon, who was suspended for the first four games of the season for violating the league’s substance abuse policy.

Jacksonville: 0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS
Jacksonville most recently:
When playing in October are 2-8
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing outside the division are 0-10
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville’s last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville’s last 6 games on the road
Jacksonville is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis’s last 7 games at home

The Rams were a 35-11 loser in their most recent outing at home against the 49ers. They failed to cover the 3.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (46) made winners of OVER bettors.

St. Louis is the only team in the NFL with a worse rushing attack than Jacksonville, as the Rams average only 47.3 yards on the ground. Zac Stacy, a rookie who has one carry thus far, is expected to get an increase in opportunities as the team continues to struggle to replace longtime rusher Steven Jackson. With virtually no complimentary ground game against the 49ers, Sam Bradford completed only 19-of-41 passes, was sacked five times and turned the ball over twice.

St. Louis: 1-3 SU, 0-4 ATS
When playing in October are 3-7
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 4-5-1
When playing outside the division are 2-8
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

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