New England at Cincinnati – NFL Betting Preview

Coming off their most impressive performance of the young season, the New England Patriots will put their unblemished record on the line when they visit the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday.

New England Patriots vs. Cincinnati Bengals
When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 6, 2013
Where: Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Bengals -1. O/U: 45.
Current streak: New England has won 4 straight games.
Oddsmakers currently have the Bengals listed as 1-point favorites versus the Patriots, while the game’s total is sitting at 45.

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The Patriots were a 30-23 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Falcons. They covered the 2.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (53) made winners of OVER bettors.
Injuries to tight end Rob Gronkowski and Danny Amendola have left the receiving corps in shambles, and with rookies Kenbrell Thompkins and Aaron Dobson also ailing, New England signed former Indianapolis wideout Austin Collie on Thursday. Running back Stevan Ridley also sat out practice Wednesday and Thursday, so Brady will continue to look in the direction of Julian Edelman, who has at least seven catches in every game and is tied for the league lead with 34 receptions. New England ranks sixth in the league with 14.3 points allowed, but there is no obvious replacement for perennial Pro Bowler Wilfork.

New England: 4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS
New England most recently:
When playing in October are 8-2
When playing on turf are 8-2
After being outgained are 9-1
When playing outside the division are 7-3
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England’s last 5 games

The Bengals were a 17-6 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Browns. They failed to cover the 3.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (23) made winners of UNDER bettors.
Cincinnati managed only 266 total yards in the loss to Cleveland but will likely make a concerted effort to get the ground game going to exploit the absence of the massive Wilford in the middle. Former Patriot BenJarvus Green-Ellis is averaging a paltry 2.7 yards per carry and could be supplanted soon by rookie Giovani Bernard, who averages 4.6 yards a pop and has 10 catches the past two weeks. Quarterback Andy Dalton needs to re-establish a connection with star wideout A.J. Green, who has failed to put up more than 51 yards in each of the past three games after a dazzling 162-yard, two-touchdown season opener.

Cincinnati: 2-2 SU, 2-1-1 ATS
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 6-4
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cincinnati’s last 13 games

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